Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Metz		Monaco

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.75	1.33	Watch
	6.25	5	1.43
	7.3	5.4	1.37	Watch
	7.95	5.9	1.36
	7.21	5.59	1.36	Watch
	7	5	1.33
	7.71	5.91	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↑ (5.08)	5.51 ↑ (4.62)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Metz
13.1%

Draw
17.3%

Monaco
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

20.4%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

20%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	8.2%	87.8%

Metz - Monaco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Sy P. (G) 70. Sarr B. (C) 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 21. Stambouli B. 5. Gbamin J. 10. Hein G. 20. Deminguet J. 34. Mbala N. 11. Kvilitaia G.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 6. Zakaria D. (C) 5. Kehrer T. 13. Mawissa C. 4. Teze J. 15. Camara L. 8. Pogba P. 24. Adingra S. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 2. Colin M. 30. Diallo H. 3. Diop M. 1. Fischer J. (G) 29. Guerti I. 4. Mboula U. 33. Munongo B. 35. Pandore J.	23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 12. Caio Henrique 3. Dier E. 25. Faes W. 31. Fati A. 16. Kohn P. (G) 49. Toure I.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Deminguet J. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
58', Pogba P. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
58', Adingra S. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
58', Camara L. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
62', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
74', Stambouli B. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
74', Mbala N. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
74', Golovin A. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
81', Mawissa C. 🟨,
82', Deminguet J. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
82', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
84', Mawissa C. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Fati A. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.

Metz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Monaco is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Metz: Kouao K. (Yellow Cards) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Michal L. (Loan agreement) Toure A. (Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Idumbo S. (Shoulder Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Knee Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Munongo B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Caio Henrique (Thigh Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Le Havre - Metz	4:4 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Metz	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLLTT
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Toulouse - Monaco	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Monaco - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Lyon - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Monaco - Metz	5:2
30.03.24	Metz - Monaco	2:5
22.10.23	Monaco - Metz	2:1
03.04.22	Metz - Monaco	1:2
05.12.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0
Coupe De France
06.04.21	Monaco - Metz	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.04.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0

Upcoming Matches