What is the expert prediction for Metz vs Monaco?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Metz vs Monaco. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Metz vs Monaco Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, May 02, 2026)

Match Info

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Metz		Monaco

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.25	1.42	Watch
	6.25	5	1.43
	6.4	4.95	1.44
	6.62	5.16	1.43
	6.15	4.94	1.44	Watch
	6	4.8	1.4
	6.96	5.43	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↑ (5.08)	5.08 ↑ (4.62)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
14.9%

Draw
18.7%

Monaco
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

20.4%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

20%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.

Metz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monaco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Monaco is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Monaco	31	15	6	10	54:47	7	51
18	Metz	31	3	7	21	31:70	-39	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Le Havre - Metz	4:4 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Metz	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLLTT
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Toulouse - Monaco	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Monaco - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Lyon - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Monaco - Metz	5:2
30.03.24	Metz - Monaco	2:5
22.10.23	Monaco - Metz	2:1
03.04.22	Metz - Monaco	1:2
05.12.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0
Coupe De France
06.04.21	Monaco - Metz	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.04.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0

Metz - Monaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide