Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	19:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:00	Caze TV
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	19:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	19:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	20:00	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	19:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	11:00	FOX One
Netherlands	19:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV4
Romania	20:00	Voyo
Russia	20:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
International	17:00	Onefootball


	Metz		Monaco

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.75	1.33	Watch
	6.25	5	1.43
	7.3	5.4	1.37	Watch
	7.95	5.9	1.36
	7.21	5.59	1.36	Watch
	7	5	1.33
	7.71	5.91	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↑ (5.08)	5.51 ↑ (4.62)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
13.1%

Draw
17.3%

Monaco
69.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.6%

20.4%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

19.8%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	8.2%	87.8%

Metz - Monaco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Sy P. (G) 70. Sarr B. (C) 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 21. Stambouli B. 5. Gbamin J. 10. Hein G. 20. Deminguet J. 34. Mbala N. 11. Kvilitaia G.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 6. Zakaria D. (C) 5. Kehrer T. 13. Mawissa C. 4. Teze J. 15. Camara L. 8. Pogba P. 24. Adingra S. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 2. Colin M. 30. Diallo H. 3. Diop M. 1. Fischer J. (G) 29. Guerti I. 4. Mboula U. 33. Munongo B. 35. Pandore J.	23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 12. Caio Henrique 3. Dier E. 25. Faes W. 31. Fati A. 16. Kohn P. (G) 49. Toure I.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Deminguet J. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
58', Pogba P. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
58', Adingra S. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
58', Camara L. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
62', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
74', Stambouli B. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
74', Mbala N. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
74', Golovin A. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
81', Mawissa C. 🟨,
82', Deminguet J. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
82', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
84', Mawissa C. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Fati A. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.

Metz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Monaco is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Metz: Kouao K. (Yellow Cards) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Michal L. (Loan agreement) Toure A. (Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Idumbo S. (Shoulder Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Knee Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Munongo B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Caio Henrique (Thigh Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11:7	4	15

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 4.28%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Le Havre - Metz	4:4 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Metz	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLLTT
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Toulouse - Monaco	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Monaco - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Lyon - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Monaco - Metz	5:2
30.03.24	Metz - Monaco	2:5
22.10.23	Monaco - Metz	2:1
03.04.22	Metz - Monaco	1:2
05.12.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0
Coupe De France
06.04.21	Monaco - Metz	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.04.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0

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