Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sport TV Africa
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Sporting Lisbon		Farense

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	17	Watch
	1.19	6.75	14.5
	1.15	8	15	Watch
	1.19	8.34	17.03
	1.18	7.26	16.26	Watch
	1.18	6.5	17	Watch
	1.2	6.99	18.3	Watch
	1.15	8	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.14)	7.29 ↓ (8.67)	16.26 ↑ (16.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
81%

Draw
13.1%

Farense
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.2%

10.9%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The chances for Farense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Farense will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 57. Quenda G. 23. Braganca D. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 21. Catamo G. 19. Harder C. 17. Trincao	33. Velho R. (C) 3. Moreno M. 29. Claudio Falcao 44. Lucas Africo 28. Pastor 8. Ze Carlos 93. Menino M. 31. Derick Poloni 7. Balde E. 9. Tomane 2. Paulo Victor
Substitutes
6. Debast Z. 47. Esgaio R. 1. Israel F. (G) 2. Matheus Reis 90. Moreira A. 86. Nel R. 72. Quaresma E. 52. Simoes J. 3. St. Juste J.	11. Bermejo A. 19. Costa R. 4. Jorge A. 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 14. Poveda D. 5. Ribeiro T. 70. Rivaldo 50. Seruca A. 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Borges R.	Marreco T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Fresneda I. ⚽, Harder C. (A),
25', Catamo G. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
26', 2 - 0, Diomande O. ⚽, Trincao (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Lucas Africo ⚽, Balde E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pastor ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
53', Derick Poloni ↓, Costa R. ↑,
56', Fresneda I. 🟨,
77', Menino M. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
77', Tomane ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
77', Braganca D. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Harder C. ⚽, Matheus Reis (A),
90', Balde E. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
90', Trincao ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
90', Araujo M. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 5.

Recent matches Sporting is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Edwards M. (Injury) Gyokeres V. (Knee Injury) Quaresma E. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Morita H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sporting won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:6 (average 3.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLWL
- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
25.01.25	Farense - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Moreirense - Farense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.25	Farense - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.01.25	Santa Clara - Farense	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Farense - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
23.08.24	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	0:5
03.03.24	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	3:2
Portuguese League Cup
02.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	4:2
Liga Portugal
30.09.23	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	2:3
Portuguese League Cup
30.11.22	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	6:0
Liga Portugal
16.04.21	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
19.12.20	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	1:0

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