Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sport TV Africa
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Brazil	15:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	20:00	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	20:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5
Finland	20:00	Veikkaus TV
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	19:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	20:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	19:00	Sport 2
Israel	20:00	Sport 1
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	19:00	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV2
Romania	20:00	AntenaPLAY
Saudi Arabia	21:00	Shahid VIP
Slovakia	19:00	Arena sport 1
South America	—	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	21:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	13:00	Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:00	Inter
International	18:00	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Sporting Lisbon		Farense

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	17	Watch
	1.19	6.75	14.5
	1.15	8	15	Watch
	1.19	8.34	17.03
	1.18	7.26	16.26	Watch
	1.18	6.5	17	Watch
	1.2	6.99	18.3	Watch
	1.15	8	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.14)	7.29 ↓ (8.67)	16.26 ↑ (16.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
81%

Draw
13.1%

Farense
5.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.2%

10.9%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The chances for Farense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Farense will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 57. Quenda G. 23. Braganca D. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 21. Catamo G. 19. Harder C. 17. Trincao	33. Velho R. (C) 3. Moreno M. 29. Claudio Falcao 44. Lucas Africo 28. Pastor 8. Ze Carlos 93. Menino M. 31. Derick Poloni 7. Balde E. 9. Tomane 2. Paulo Victor
Substitutes
6. Debast Z. 47. Esgaio R. 1. Israel F. (G) 2. Matheus Reis 90. Moreira A. 86. Nel R. 72. Quaresma E. 52. Simoes J. 3. St. Juste J.	11. Bermejo A. 19. Costa R. 4. Jorge A. 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 14. Poveda D. 5. Ribeiro T. 70. Rivaldo 50. Seruca A. 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Borges R.	Marreco T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Fresneda I. ⚽, Harder C. (A),
25', Catamo G. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
26', 2 - 0, Diomande O. ⚽, Trincao (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Lucas Africo ⚽, Balde E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pastor ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
53', Derick Poloni ↓, Costa R. ↑,
56', Fresneda I. 🟨,
77', Menino M. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
77', Tomane ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
77', Braganca D. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Harder C. ⚽, Matheus Reis (A),
90', Balde E. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
90', Trincao ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
90', Araujo M. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 5.

Recent matches Sporting is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Edwards M. (Injury) Gyokeres V. (Knee Injury) Quaresma E. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Morita H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sporting won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:6 (average 3.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLWL
- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
25.01.25	Farense - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Moreirense - Farense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.25	Farense - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.01.25	Santa Clara - Farense	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Farense - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
23.08.24	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	0:5
03.03.24	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	3:2
Portuguese League Cup
02.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	4:2
Liga Portugal
30.09.23	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	2:3
Portuguese League Cup
30.11.22	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	6:0
Liga Portugal
16.04.21	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
19.12.20	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	1:0

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