Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Sporting Lisbon		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.15
	3.3	3.5	2.15
	3.6	3.65	2.12
	3.5	3.4	2.11
	3.51	3.49	2.21
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.48	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.89)	3.48 ↓ (3.64)	2.14 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN, UniMás

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
27.7%

Draw
27.6%

Tottenham Hotspur
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.5%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	19.8%	57%

Sporting Lisbon - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 121 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 28 - 23.1%). Tottenham will win (votes: 69 - 57%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 19.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 48.2% – 65.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sporting has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (37%), has a chance of 2nd (38%), has a chance of 3rd (20%), has a good chance of round of 16 (75%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Tottenham has currently - 3, has a good chance of 1st (52%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a small chance of 3rd (12%), has a good chance of round of 16 (84%), has a chance of qtrs (43%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has big quality 80, importance 52, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Sporting is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tottenham in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tottenham will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Cabral J. (Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Lucas Moura (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Neto (Knee Injury) St. Juste J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
10.09.22	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.09.22	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Sporting Lisbon - Chaves	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL
- Tottenham Hotspur
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.09.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	2:1 ✺
31.08.22	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWW

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