Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.6
	1.98	3.7	3.5
	2.04	3.7	3.75
	2.01	3.75	3.5
	2.02	3.79	3.7
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.03	3.68	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)	3.7 ↑ (3.64)	3.62 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: UNIMAS (KTFV - Harlingen)

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
47.6%

Draw
25.9%

Sporting Lisbon
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	16.8%	12.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 125 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 88 - 70.4%). Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 16.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 62.4% – 78.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Eintracht has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (15%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (37%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sporting has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (24%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 73, big importance 80, big match rating 77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Eintracht will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Eintracht: Buta (Knee Injury) Rode S. (Muscle Injury) Toure A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Cabral J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Pellegrini Lu. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
03.09.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	4:0 ✺
28.08.22	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:4 ✺
21.08.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
10.08.22	Real Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTTL
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
02.09.22	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Sporting Lisbon - Chaves	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
13.08.22	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
07.08.22	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWT

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