Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Algarve (Faro/Loulé)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sporting TV, TVI Player, TVI
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting Lisbon		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33	Watch
	1.6	4.05	4.55
	1.55	4.38	5.11
	1.30	5.74	8.02	Watch
	1.64	4.18	4.53	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	4.36 ↑ (3.74)	5.17 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
60.3%

Draw
21.5%

Sunderland
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Sunderland will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Sporting (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Silva R. (G) 6. Debast Z. 8. Goncalves P. 19. Harder C. 42. Hjulmand M. 25. Inacio G. 2. Matheus Reis 5. Morita H. 72. Quaresma E. 57. Quenda G. 17. Trincao	16. Noukeu B. (G) 11. Adingra S. 5. Ballard D. 19. Diarra H. 32. Hume T. 50. Jones H. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E. 27. Sadiki N. 23. Seelt J. 68. Talbi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Trincao ⚽, Harder C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hume T. ↓, Lavery T. ↑,
46', Ballard D. ↓, Triantis N. ↑,
46', Seelt J. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
46', Jones H. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
46', Talbi C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
46', Diarra H. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
46', Sadiki N. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
46', Adingra S. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
46', Le Fee E. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
46', Mayenda E. ↓, Tutierov T. ↑,
74', Morita H. ↓, Rayan Lucas ↑,
75', Noukeu B. ↓, Young M. ↑,
77', Quaresma E. ↓, Travassos ↑,
80', Abdullahi A. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
90+1', Matheus Reis ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
90+3', Goncalves P. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Estádio Algarve.

Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Celtic	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTW
- Sunderland AFC
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Sevilla - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	South Shields - Sunderland	0:4 ✺
12.07.25	Gateshead - Sunderland	2:2 ✺
English League Championship
24.05.25	Sheffield United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Sunderland - Coventry City	1:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTWL

Upcoming Matches