Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 2

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sporting Lisbon		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.35	5.00	7.75
	1.4	4.55	6.8	Watch
	1.42	5.05	8.3
	1.4	5.02	7.58	Watch
	1.4	4.95	7.9
	1.46	4.92	7.09	Watch
	1.38	4.9	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.2)	4.89 ↓ (6.67)	7.37 ↓ (11.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
67.7%

Draw
19.4%

Vitoria Guimarães
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

14%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitoria Guimarães's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Guimarães will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 72. Quaresma E. 25. Inacio G. (C) 20. Araujo M. 5. Altimira S. 77. Doumbia I. 10. Catamo G. 17. Zalazar R. 58. Goncalves F. 7. Ioannidis F.	48. Zych O. (G) 2. Maga 4. Rivas Viondi O. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. II. 8. Nogueira G. 16. Beni 7. Camara O. 20. Samu (C) 11. Gustavo 24. Ndoye A.
Substitutes
4. Andersen S. 55. Ba I. 6. Debast Z. 28. Derry J. 50. Dias R. 73. Felicissimo E. 22. Fresneda I. 31. Luis Guilherme 9. Nel R. 21. Pedro Lima 97. Suarez L. 12. Virginia J. (G)	18. Arcanjo T. 22. Castillo J. (G) 82. Dias F. 44. Doucet L. 98. Lucas Furtado (G) 6. Mitrovic M. 17. Nogueira M. 29. Ouotro P. 5. Sidibe A. 23. Strata T. 56. Verdi S.
Coaches
Borges R.	Margarido T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Goncalves F. ⚽, Ioannidis F. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Ioannidis F. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
24', Altimira S. 🟨,
26', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
38', Rivas Viondi O. 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Altimira S. ⚽, Ioannidis F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Camara O. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
46', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
46', Beni ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
55', Catamo G. 🟨,
64', Nogueira M. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Samu ⚽, Nogueira M. (A),
67', Goncalves F. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
67', Catamo G. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Ndoye A. ⚽, Strata T. (A),
71', Quaresma E. 🟨,
76', Ioannidis F. ↓, Derry J. ↑,
77', Nogueira G. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
78', Gustavo 🟨,
84', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
88', Samu ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
90+1', Inacio G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.

Sporting has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Santos N. (Muscle Injury) Simoes J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Braganca D. (Inactive) Fresneda I. (Inactive) Pote (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guimarães: Gustavo (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:19. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:4. (average 2.2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
08.08.26	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nottingham Forest	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Monaco	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Strasbourg	7:0 ✺
14.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
08.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Chaves	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	5:1
Portuguese League Cup
06.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2
Liga Portugal
23.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	1:4
17.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0
03.01.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	4:4
21.04.24	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0
09.12.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	3:2

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