Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Sporting Lisbon		Young Boys

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.3	6	8.75
	1.37	5.55	8.1	Watch
	1.32	5.9	8.6
	1.31	5.89	8.99
	1.29	5.5	8.5
	1.35	6.11	8.9
	1.32	6	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	5.81 ↑ (5.31)	8.68 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
72.5%

Draw
16.5%

Young Boys
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

18.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18.1%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	5.7%	7.5%

Sporting Lisbon - Young Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (46 of 53 users predict this - 86.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.67% – 95.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adan A. (C) 72. Quaresma E. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 47. Esgaio R. 42. Hjulmand M. 23. Braganca D. 2. Matheus Reis 10. Edwards M. 9. Gyokeres V. 17. Trincao	26. von Ballmoos D. (G) 17. Janko S. 28. Lustenberger F. (C) 4. Amenda A. 3. Hadjam J. 30. Lauper S. 39. Males D. 20. Niasse C. 77. Monteiro J. 9. Itten C. 15. Elia M.
Substitutes
21. Catamo G. 4. Coates S. 22. Fresneda I. 8. Goncalves P. 12. Israel F. (G) 80. Koindredi K. 5. Morita H. 86. Nel R. 13. Neto 45. Rafael 11. Santos N. 3. St. Juste J.	27. Blum L. 11. Colley E. 47. Deme M. 35. Ganvoula S. 8. Lakomy L. 40. Marzino D. (G) 32. Mvuka Mugisha J. 19. Persson N. 1. Racioppi A. (G) 58. Seiler M.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Wicky R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.

Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Young Boys is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Young Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Paulinho (Tendon Injury) St. Juste J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Young Boys: Benito L. (Knee Injury) Camara M. (Red Card) Imeri K. (Knee Injury) Ugrinic F. (Finger Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
19.02.24	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Young Boys - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	5:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.02.24	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
18.02.24	Young Boys - Lausanne Ouchy	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.24	Young Boys - Middelfart	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Young Boys - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.02.24	Lugano - Young Boys	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.24	Brabrand - Young Boys	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLT?

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Young Boys - Sporting Lisbon	1:3

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