Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Young Boys		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.2	1.67
	4.8	4	1.68
	5	4.2	1.68	Watch
	4.95	4	1.69
	4.95	4.16	1.68
	4.75	4	1.62
	5.08	4.26	1.71
	4.8	4.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.78)	4.12 ↑ (3.77)	1.68 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
19.7%

Draw
23.3%

Sporting Lisbon
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

25.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Young Boys's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	12%	78%

Young Boys - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (39 of 50 users predict this - 78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.52% – 89.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. von Ballmoos D. (C) 27. Blum L. 13. Camara M. 4. Amenda A. 3. Hadjam J. 30. Lauper S. 8. Lakomy L. 7. Ugrinic F. 11. Colley E. 9. Itten C. 32. Mvuka Mugisha J.	1. Adan A. (C) 72. Quaresma E. 2. Matheus Reis 25. Inacio G. 47. Esgaio R. 8. Goncalves P. 42. Hjulmand M. 23. Braganca D. 10. Edwards M. 9. Gyokeres V. 11. Santos N.
Substitutes
47. Deme M. 15. Elia M. 35. Ganvoula S. 28. Lustenberger F. 39. Males D. 40. Marzino D. (G) 77. Monteiro J. 20. Niasse C. 19. Persson N. 1. Racioppi A. (G) 58. Seiler M.	21. Catamo G. 12. Israel F. (G) 80. Koindredi K. 5. Morita H. 86. Nel R. 13. Neto 45. Rafael 99. Silva F. (G) 17. Trincao
Coaches
Wicky R.	Amorim R.

Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Young Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting is a favorite.

There will not play in Young Boys: Benito L. (Knee Injury) Imeri K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Coates S. (Rest) Diomande O. (Injury) Paulinho (Tendon Injury) St. Juste J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Young Boys: Elia M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
10.02.24	Lugano - Young Boys	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.24	Brabrand - Young Boys	Canceled ✺
Swiss Super League
03.02.24	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.24	Young Boys - Bulle	Canceled ✺
Swiss Super League
30.01.24	Young Boys - Yverdon	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 T?W?W
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
11.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	5:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.02.24	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	8:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.01.24	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.24	Vizela - Sporting Lisbon	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

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