Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Sporting Lisbon B		Amora

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.15	3.32	3.1
	2.61	3.22	2.65
	2.42	3.2	2.62
	2.46	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.98)	3.3 ↓ (4.14)	2.69 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
38.3%

Draw
27.7%

Amora
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

22.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

22.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon B's form might have worsened.

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Pires G. (G) 93. Menino M. 66. Alves M. 73. Lamba C. 49. Barroso L. 50. Brito A. 97. Travassos 98. Mendonca M. 57. Quenda G. 67. Anjos L. 88. Tiago Ferreira	96. Rendeiro R. (G) 14. Maneta D. 3. Sousa J. (C) 6. Maio F. 23. Marques F. 18. Azevedo T. 45. Batalha G. 70. Lapas Montenegro L. M. 77. Silva M. 9. Oliveira J. 93. Souza B.
Substitutes
76. Abreu D. 78. Couto M. 75. Felix V. 59. Kaua 79. Marques R. 84. Migueis P. (G) 43. Muniz J. 86. Nel R. 60. Pedro Bondo	39. Cabral S. (G) 13. Costa H. 24. Gata Z. 2. Glorias Tavares G. A. 11. Junior M. 27. Sousa V. 22. Toni 29. Toro 10. Viegas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Anjos L. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Quenda G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Silva M. ↓, Junior M. ↑,
46', Souza B. ↓, Viegas E. ↑,
53', Brito A. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Mendonca M. ⚽,
56', 4 - 0, Anjos L. ⚽,
58', Maio F. ↓, Toni ↑,
58', Sousa J. ↓, Toro ↑,
62', Menino M. ↓, Kaua ↑,
62', Quenda G. ↓, Couto M. ↑,
62', Travassos ↓, Felix V. ↑,
71', Maneta D. ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
73', 5 - 0, Brito A. ⚽,
73', Anjos L. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
74', Brito A. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
79', Toro 🟨,
86', Oliveira J. 🟨,
86', Lapas Montenegro L. M. 🟨,
88', Alves M. 🟨,
90+1', Mendonca M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lisbon B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
28.04.24	Pero Pinheiro - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Sporting Lisbon B - 1 Dezembro	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTTLW
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
28.04.24	Amora - 1 Dezembro	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Amora - Caldas	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Oliveira Hospital - Amora	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Amora - Pero Pinheiro	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Caldas - Amora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.24	Amora - Sporting Lisbon B	1:3
04.11.23	Amora - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2
09.08.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Amora	1:0
11.02.23	Amora - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1
10.12.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Amora	0:1
05.02.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Amora	0:1
31.10.21	Amora - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0

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