The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting San José 40.9%
Draw 27.1%
Herediano 32%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
27.7%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
26.6%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting San José's form might have worsened.
Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Herediano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San José than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting San José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Herediano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sporting San José - Herediano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting San José won 1.
Sporting San José has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Herediano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sporting San José could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sporting San José has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:33 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting San José against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 6:19 goals (averaging 0.6:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting FC
13
7
3
3
26:20
6
24
8
Herediano
13
4
2
7
15:17
-2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting San José - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.49%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.