Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting de Gijón		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.83
	2.01	3.53	3.54	Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)	3.46 ↑ (3.19)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
46.4%

Draw
27.3%

Racing Santander
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Racing (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sporting de Gijón (1.28) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Racing (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 21. Ramon P. 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 8. Aldasoro A. (C) 11. Martin A. 10. Vicente I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 23. Curbelo E. 3. Garcia P. 22. Kembo Y. 21. Loum M. 6. Martin N. 11. Queipo D. 20. Vazquez K. 30. Venteo I. (G)	9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 3. Garcia M. 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 29. Jeremy Arevalo 2. Mantilla A. 4. Manu 19. Puerta G. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 36. Sergio M.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Dubasin J. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
27', Salinas J. 🟨,
36', Ramon P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
60', Salinas J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
60', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Vazquez P. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Martin A. (A),
77', Gueye M. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
77', Puerta G. 🟨,
78', Campos G. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
78', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
81', Martin A. 🟨,
85', Michelin C. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
88', Vicente I. 🟨,
90+3', Rosas G. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
90+3', Dubasin J. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
90+6', Otero J. 🟨,
90+8', Otero J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
90+9', Vazquez K. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 0.

Sporting de Gijón is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting de Gijón could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Joel C. (Surgery)

There will not play in Racing: Canales P. (International duty)

There are questionable in Racing: Arana J. (Injury)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 3.5.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Córdoba - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:4 ✺
07.09.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
14.09.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.24	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:3
07.10.23	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	3:2

Upcoming Matches