Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 8

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.1	3.05	3.4
	2.02	3.12	3.4
	2.05	3.22	3.45	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.08	3.12	3.74
	2.1	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)	3.05 (3.05)	3.43 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
43.5%

Draw
29.9%

Resistencia
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

30.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carapeguá will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carapeguá (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Resistencia (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Carapeguá (votes: 1 - 20%). Resistencia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Vera Encina R. F. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Torales J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, Torales J. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 6)

Carapeguá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Resistencia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Sol de América - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTLT
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.05.25	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Sol de América - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Resistencia - Fernando de la Mora	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Encarnación - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Resistencia - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
12.08.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	2:1
06.05.24	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:2

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