The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 31.9%
Draw 34%
San Martín de Burzaco 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
31%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
29.8%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa San Carlos's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Villa San Carlos - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 2. Areco G. 3. Canete S. 8. Farias F. 7. Ferrante F. 5. Gonzalez E. 11. Guallama F. 4. Lloyaiy A. 10. Melillo E. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Pavia K.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 5. Denis K. 10. Diaz R. 11. Gauna N. A. 8. Gonzalez R. 4. Modon S. 6. Peralta R. 3. Siliman A. 2. Tobon J. 7. Velazquez R.
Substitutes
16. Acosta A. 19. Almiron M. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 20. Cairo F. 13. Esteves I. 14. Fabi S. 15. Martinez A. 18. Mussis F. 17. Ponton A.
17. Costa L. 14. Escudero M. 15. Juarez F. 16. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 18. Muzzio M. 13. Rodriguez J. 19. Treppo E. 20. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Areco G. ↓, Esteves I. ↑,
34', Lloyaiy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Denis K. 🟨,
58', Melillo E. ↓, Acosta A. ↑,
58', Guallama F. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
63', Peralta R. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
68', Ojeda F. 🟨,
70', Chavez B. ↓, Zagert E. ↑,
77', Pavia K. ↓, Almiron M. ↑,
77', Farias F. ↓, Fabi S. ↑,
80', Velazquez R. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
80', Diaz R. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
90+2', Acosta A. 🟨,
90+4', Canete S. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 1.
In recent matches, Villa San Carlos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
SM de Burzaco is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Villa San Carlos has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.