Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Sportivo Luqueño		Racing

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.7	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.49	3.65	1.81
	4.49	3.56	1.78
	4.4	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.41	3.66	1.77	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.57)	3.65 (3.65)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
21.2%

Draw
25.6%

Racing
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.5%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Sportivo Luqueño - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 6. Suarez M. 5. Villalba A. 23. Aguilar P. (C) 2. Ferreira R. 10. Mana N. 37. Comas L. 18. Rojas R. 16. Rios R. D. 22. Ferreira M. 9. Alvarez A.	21. Arias G. (C) 6. Colombo N. 20. German Conti 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 32. Almendra A. E. 13. Sosa S. 34. Mura F. 22. Rodriguez B. 9. Adrian Martinez 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B.
Substitutes
28. Acosta D. 12. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Alegre D. 14. Benitez F. 30. Caceres J. C. 11. Fretes S. 24. Ledesma A. 4. Leguizamon J. 8. Mendoza J. 20. Otalvaro S. 21. Ruiz Diaz S. 34. Vera Cabrera D. R.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 3. Di Cesare M. 47. Galvan I. 44. Gomez J. 5. Nardoni J. 8. Quintero J. F. 38. Rubio T. 7. Salas M. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S. 18. Urzi A. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Caceres J. C.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Almendra A. E. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Adrian Martinez (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Suarez M. ↓, Vera Cabrera D. R. ↑,
46', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
46', Mura F. ↓, Rubio T. ↑,
50', Rojas R. 🟨,
57', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
61', Ferreira M. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
71', Mana N. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
71', Alvarez A. ↓, Alegre D. ↑,
72', German Conti 🟨,
74', Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↓, Quintero J. F. ↑,
79', German Conti ↓, Di Cesare M. ↑,
81', Rios R. D. 🟨,
81', Comas L. ↓, Ruiz Diaz S. ↑,
85', Sosa S. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.03.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Central Córdoba - Racing	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.03.24	Racing - San Martín de Burzaco	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Boca Juniors - Racing	4:2 ✺
05.03.24	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLL

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