Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Sportivo Luqueño		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.35	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.4	3.05
	2.39	3.31	3.05
	2.25	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.32	3.42	2.94	Watch
	2.32	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.97 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
40.1%

Draw
28.3%

Coquimbo Unido
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	21.1%	21.1%

Sportivo Luqueño - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Luqueño: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 5. Villalba A. 4. Leguizamon J. 33. Alborno R. 10. Mana N. 8. Mendoza J. 18. Rojas R. 26. Fernandez D. (C) 9. Alvarez A. 27. Benitez J.	13. Sanchez D. (G) 5. Escobar D. 2. Cabrera B. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 7. Galani S. (C) 10. Cabral L. 6. Glaby D. 30. Chandia B. 9. Chavez A. 26. Barrera C.
Substitutes
7. Alegre D. 19. Barrios L. 14. Benitez F. 37. Comas L. 1. Falcon G. (G) 32. Fernandez D. 22. Ferreira M. 11. Fretes S. 24. Ledesma A. 20. Otalvaro S. 16. Rios R. D. 3. Villalba I.	11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 8. Camargo A. 20. Henriquez Neira J. A. 4. Hernandez E. 19. Johansen N. 32. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 1. Pinto M. (G) 14. Plaza D. 17. Salinas F. 27. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Caceres J. C.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Cabrera B. 🟨,
45+1', Leguizamon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
46', Benitez J. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
47', Cabral L. 🟨,
51', Glaby D. 🟨,
81', Mana N. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
81', Alvarez A. ↓, Barrios L. ↑,
81', Mendoza J. ↓, Rios R. D. ↑,
84', Barrera C. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
84', Alborno R. 🟨,
90+1', Chandia B. ↓, Camargo A. ↑,
90+4', Chavez A. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Sportivo Luqueño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coquimbo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.04.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Luqueño	0:3 ✺
14.04.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL
- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
03.05.24	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Everton de Viña - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Racing	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
20.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Universidad de Chile - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
11.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0

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