Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5, Tigo Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Barracas Central		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.6	Watch
	2.7	2.87	2.8
	2.92	2.88	2.58	Watch
	3	2.94	2.72
	2.99	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.6
	2.88	2.86	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.38)	2.88 ↑ (2.88)	2.66 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
32.2%

Draw
32.5%

Olimpia Asuncion
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Barracas Central - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espinola J. (G) 4. Martinez D. 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 8. Porra T. 28. Bogarin R. 10. Tapia I. (C) 9. Morales G. 20. Candia J.	1. Olveira G. (G) 27. Caceres R. 14. Vargas G. 2. Bentaberry B. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 7. Cardozo F. 5. Alfaro J. F. 20. Delmas E. 37. Benitez R. 17. Alcaraz A.
Substitutes
13. Barrios R. 11. Briasco N. 7. Bruera F. 37. Campi G. 18. Duarte M. 16. Guaraz I. A. 14. Jappert K. 33. Maroni G. 5. Miloc D. 30. Mino M. (G) 15. Rak Y. 24. Taborda E.	39. Abreu L. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 16. Chala A. 11. Ferreira S. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 29. Leguizamon I. 25. Lentinelly S. (G) 19. Lezcano R. 4. Morales L. 23. Perez R. 33. Ramirez L. 3. Silva A.
Coaches
Insua R.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Morales G. ⚽, Tapia I. (A),
17', Capraro N. 🟨,
27', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
32', Benitez R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Cardozo F. ⚽, Delmas E. (A),
35', Tobio F. 🟨,
35', Cardozo F. 🟨,
38', Candia J. 🟨,
45+3', Martinez D. 🟨,
45+3', Ortiz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Miloc D. ↑,
51', Ortiz R. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
61', Silva A. 🟨,
65', Capraro N. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
65', Candia J. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
65', Morales G. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
69', Alcaraz A. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
69', Delmas E. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
72', Bogarin R. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
82', Benitez R. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
82', Cardozo F. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Franco Zayas A. F. ⚽, Leguizamon I. (A),
90+5', Demartini N. 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barracas Central won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Barracas Central - Banfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Barracas Central - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Barracas Central - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTTTT
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	3:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.04.26	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	Olimpia Asuncion Awarded ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLL?T

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Barracas Central	0:0

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