Match Info

Date: 17 August 2020, Monday


	San Lorenzo		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.28	Watch
	8	5.25	1.28
	7.5	4.75	1.3
	8	5	1.31
	9.1	5.06	1.35
	9	4.75	1.32	Watch
	9.4	5.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.43 ↓ (8.93)	5.13 ↓ (5.3)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
11.1%

Draw
18.2%

Olimpia Asuncion
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

17.7%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

83.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	20%	51.4%

San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Olimpia will win (votes: 18 - 51.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 34.8% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Copa Libertadores).

San Lorenzo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olimpia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Olimpia is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-31.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.08.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
02.08.20	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	4:1 ✺
25.07.20	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
22.07.20	Club General Díaz - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.08.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
08.08.20	Club General Díaz - Olimpia Asuncion	1:3 ✺
02.08.20	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
26.07.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Sol de América	4:0 ✺
22.07.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.02.20	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:2
01.12.19	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:4
15.09.19	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:1
30.03.19	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:4
26.01.19	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:0
21.11.15	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:2
30.08.15	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1

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