Match Info

Date: 21 August 2020, Friday


	Nacional Asuncion		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.72	3.4	4.3
	1.7	3.65	4.4
	1.74	3.82	4.77
	1.7	3.75	4.4	Watch
	1.82	4.05	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	4.58 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
54.2%

Draw
25.4%

San Lorenzo
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 12).

Recent matches Nacional Asuncion is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Lorenzo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Nacional Asuncion is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional Asuncion won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.20	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
11.08.20	Nacional Asuncion - Club General Díaz	3:0 ✺
07.08.20	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
01.08.20	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
26.07.20	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTL
- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.20	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2 ✺
13.08.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
02.08.20	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	4:1 ✺
25.07.20	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
08.02.20	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
09.12.19	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:2
20.09.19	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:3
04.04.19	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:1
03.02.19	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0
28.09.15	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	0:2
09.07.15	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:2

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