The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Peñarol 33.4%
Draw 32.5%
Sol de Mayo 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
31.6%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
32.3%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
72.7%
27.3%
Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
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