Match Info

Date: 21 September 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Sportivo Peñarol		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.87	2.4
	2.6	2.75	2.75
	2.75	2.7	2.65
	2.64	2.71	2.75
	2.66	2.88	2.67
	2.8	2.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	2.65 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
33.4%

Draw
32.5%

Sol de Mayo
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

32%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	72.7%	27.3%

Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.09.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	CA Liniers - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWW
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.09.22	Desamparados - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Sol de Mayo - Cipolletti	3:0 ✺
04.09.22	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Sol de Mayo - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
24.08.22	Sansinena - Sol de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.05.22	Sol de Mayo - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
03.10.21	Sol de Mayo - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1
07.07.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo	1:0
03.11.19	Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo	5:0

Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo