Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2.08
	4	3.2	2.05
	3.7	3.07	2.14	Watch
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.69	3.16	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.33)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
25.3%

Draw
29.9%

Sportivo Ameliano
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quinonez W. (G) 2. Esteche L. 19. Caceres L. 13. Lopez M. 4. Doldan J. 20. Meza Montiel D. 16. Cespedes V. 8. Quinonez A. (C) 11. Torres I. 10. Alvarez A. 9. Barrios J.	23. Martinez M. (G) 21. Franco F. 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 22. Falabella A. 19. Paredes A. 24. Ayala L. 15. Rodriguez W. 8. Moreira E. 11. Aranda S. 9. Ocampos C. 10. Vera E.
Substitutes
24. Aguero M. 14. Alfonso M. 18. Aveiro P. 35. Colman C. 1. Cristoforo F. (G) 26. Duarte J. 30. Galeano A. 29. Garcia M. 21. Gonzalez H. 28. Oviedo A. 36. Paez A. 23. Rivas F.	18. Avalos A. 3. Baez F. 5. Benitez H. 25. Bruno L. 30. Cabral R. 40. Contrera A. 20. Larralde V. 36. Leon M. 35. Sanchez A. (G) 28. Sanguina J. 32. Servian A. 7. Vera F.
Coaches
Caceres J. C.	Nanni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Vera E. ⚽, Ayala L. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Ocampos C. ⚽,
30', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Caceres L. ⚽, Quinonez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez W. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
46', Doldan J. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
46', Cespedes V. ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
52', Quinonez A. 🟨,
55', Aranda S. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
55', Ocampos C. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
64', Alvarez A. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
64', Barrios J. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
64', Torres I. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
71', Ayala L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
83', Sanguina J. 🟨,
88', Vera E. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
90+4', Martinez M. 🟨,
90+5', Quinonez W. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 5).

In recent matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sportivo Ameliano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ameliano	13	4	6	3	15:15	0	18
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Ameliano - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTTTT
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
31.01.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0

Upcoming Matches