Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.57	4	5	Watch
	1.61	3.93	5.42
	1.62	3.93	5.42
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.6	3.92	5.06
	1.53	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)	4.96 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
57.5%

Draw
23.9%

Weymouth
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Braintree Town - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Braintree Town will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Braintree have a series of guest games.

In this match Braintree is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Braintree won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
16.03.24	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Braintree Town - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Welling United - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
27.02.24	Bath City - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTTW
- Weymouth
English National League South
16.03.24	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	3:3 ✺
20.02.24	Weymouth - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.03.24	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:1
11.03.23	Braintree Town - Weymouth	0:0
12.11.22	Weymouth - Braintree Town	1:0
01.02.20	Braintree Town - Weymouth	1:1
26.10.19	Weymouth - Braintree Town	3:0
English FA Cup
28.10.14	Braintree Town - Weymouth	5:3 ET
25.10.14	Weymouth - Braintree Town	0:0

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