Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 33

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	St Albans City		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.54	3.54	4.49
	1.62	3.9	5.42
	1.6	3.75	4.5
	1.66	3.78	4.73
	1.61	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	4.78 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
56.6%

Draw
24.3%

Taunton Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

23.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Albans City's performance.

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans City - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

St Albans is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Taunton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Taunton have a series of home games.

In this match St Albans is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's St Albans to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 4 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
06.02.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - St Albans City	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Torquay United - St Albans City	0:4 ✺
27.01.24	St Albans City - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
13.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWTWW
- Taunton Town
English National League South
06.02.24	Taunton Town - Truro City	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Welling United - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Taunton Town - Aveley	2:2 ✺
23.01.24	Taunton Town - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Taunton Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.08.23	Taunton Town - St Albans City	3:2
28.01.23	Taunton Town - St Albans City	0:1
27.08.22	St Albans City - Taunton Town	0:0
English FA Cup
10.10.18	Taunton Town - St Albans City	5:2

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