Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.68	3.75	4.5
	1.7	3.85	4.57
	1.69	3.86	4.63
	1.66	3.85	4.63
	1.68	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.8 ↓ (4.05)	4.51 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
55.2%

Draw
24.3%

St Albans City
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Torquay United - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Torquay is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St Albans is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torquay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently St Albans have a series of guest games.

In this match Torquay is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
07.09.24	Welling United - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Torquay United - Aveley	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Chesham United - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWW
- St Albans City
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Needham Market - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	St Albans City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Dorking Wanderers - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.02.24	Torquay United - St Albans City	0:4
19.08.23	St Albans City - Torquay United	0:1
27.04.19	St Albans City - Torquay United	0:4
13.11.18	Torquay United - St Albans City	4:1

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