The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Gallen 57.2%
Draw 21.9%
Thun 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
22.1%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
21.8%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
7.1%
7.1%
St. Gallen - Thun Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
St. Gallen will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 74. Ruiz J. 4. Stanic J. 36. Okoroji C. 64. Stevanovic M. 28. Vandermersch H. 16. Gortler L. (C) 10. Daschner L. 7. Witzig C. 31. Besio D. 14. Balde A.
1. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 19. Bamert J. 5. Burgy N. 23. Burki M. (C) 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Saiz F. 16. Roth J. 18. Strannegard T. 96. Labeau B. 9. Dursun F.
Substitutes
20. Frokaj L. 68. Heydari M. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 63. Konietzke C. 47. Owusu E. 70. Scherrer N. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)
20. Braschi R. 37. Dahler L. 21. Derbaci D. 14. Kait M. 80. Lengen S. 30. Maier N. 54. Passavant L. 25. Spycher T. (G) 13. Zoukit N.
Coaches
Maassen E.
Privitelli G. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Labeau B. ⚽,
42', Strannegard T. 🟨,
45+2', Steffen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Besio D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Dursun F. (A),
48', 1 - 2, Frokaj L. ⚽, Balde A. (A),
51', Gortler L. 🟨,
53', 1 - 3, Labeau B. ⚽, Dursun F. (A),
58', 1 - 4, Dursun F. ⚽, Saiz F. (A),
61', Dursun F. ↓, Lengen S. ↑,
67', Witzig C. ↓, Scherrer N. ↑,
67', Stanic J. ↓, Kleine-Bekel C. ↑,
67', Stevanovic M. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
72', Reichmuth N. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
72', Labeau B. ↓, Braschi R. ↑,
74', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
75', 2 - 4, Scherrer N. ⚽, Okoroji C. (A),
79', Vandermersch H. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,
79', Roth J. ↓, Kait M. ↑,
79', Burki M. ↓, Passavant L. ↑,
90', 3 - 4, Daschner L. ⚽, Owusu E. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 1.
Recent performances by St. Gallen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Thun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, St. Gallen is a strong favorite.
There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S.
(Knee Injury)
May C.
(Knee Injury)
Neziri B.
(Knee Injury)
Weibel N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Thun: Kait M.
(Foot Injury)
Montolio G.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in St. Gallen: Boukhalfa C.
(Injury)
Hunziker A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Thun: Gutbub M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:28. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).