Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.8	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.90
	2.08	3.85	2.92	Watch
	2.2	3.91	3.09
	2.14	4.01	2.97	Watch
	2.15	3.65	3.05
	2.28	3.92	2.79	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	2.92 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
43.3%

Draw
24.6%

Thun
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

24.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	30%	25%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vikingur will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Thun will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vikingur: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vikingur (votes: 1 - 25%). Thun (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Fridriksson A. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 6. Vatnhamar G. 9. Gudjonsson H. 69. Finnbogason A. 10. Sigurdsson G. 8. Andrason V. 21. Thrandarson A. 25. Ingimundarson V. 77. Thordarson S.	1. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 27. Heule M. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 13. Zoukit N. 78. Matoshi V. 33. Gutbub M. 96. Labeau B.
Substitutes
24. Atlason D. 99. Audunsson U. (G) 23. Hansen N. 30. Hauksson S. 18. Jonsson D. 47. Kristinsson O. (G) 15. Thorkelsson R. 2. Thorkelsson S.	17. Balaruban A. 5. Burgy N. 37. Dahler L. 21. Derbaci D. 9. Dursun F. 52. Ilic A. 80. Lengen S. 30. Maier N. 8. Saiz F. 25. Spycher T. (G) 11. Stewart L. 34. Stucki L. (G)
Coaches
Ottesen S.	Privitelli G. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', Sigurdsson G. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Fehr F. ⚽, Reichmuth N. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Sigurdsson G. ⚽, Andrason V. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Labeau B. ⚽, Reichmuth N. (A),
38', 2 - 2, Thordarson S. ⚽, Gunnarsson K. (A),
42', Heule M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Ekroth O. 🟨,
47', Gutbub M. 🟨,
55', 3 - 2, Ingimundarson V. ⚽,
58', Ingimundarson V. 🟨,
61', Bamert J. 🟨,
63', Thrandarson A. ↓, Hansen N. ↑,
63', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Atlason D. ↑,
66', Vatnhamar G. 🟨,
72', Ottesen S. 🟨,
75', Finnbogason A. ↓, Jonsson D. ↑,
79', Reichmuth N. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
79', Zoukit N. ↓, Saiz F. ↑,
83', Gutbub M. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
84', Matoshi V. 🟨,
88', Heule M. ↓, Burgy N. ↑,
90+2', Ingimundarson V. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vikingur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Thun - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.08.26	Akraness - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLW
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	Basel - Thun	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Thun - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.08.26	Thun - Young Boys	0:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Thun	3:2 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
25.07.26	Luzern - Thun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Thun - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:0

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