Match Info

SCOTLAND: PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 29

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Graham C. (Sco)


	St. Johnstone		Livingston

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.7
	2.15	3	3.75	Watch
	2.23	2.96	3.95
	2.19	3	4.19
	2.15	2.8	4
	2.14	3.13	3.79	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)	3.01 ↓ (3.57)	3.84 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
43.7%

Draw
31.6%

Livingston
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livingston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livingston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

St. Johnstone - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitov D. (G) 33. Keltjens D. 5. McGowan R. 6. Gordon L. (C) 19. Robinson L. 22. Smith M. 23. Sprangler S. 10. Clark N. 34. Phillips D. 13. Jaiyesimi D. 29. Mbunga Kimpioka B.	1. George S. (G) 5. Devlin M. (C) 6. Obileye A. 21. Nottingham M. 24. Kelly S. 11. Mackay D. 4. Carson D. 22. Shinnie A. 18. Holt J. 3. Montano C. 33. Yengi T.
Substitutes
11. Carey G. 4. Considine A. 3. Gallacher T. 15. Kucheriavyi M. 7. May S. 31. Richards D. (G) 16. Sidibeh A. 50. Smith C. 35. Smith K.	9. Anderson B. 16. Bradley S. 12. Brandon J. 36. Culbert S. 28. Guthrie K. 10. Kelly S. 23. McGovern M. (G) 19. Nouble J. 20. Sangare M.
Coaches
Levein C.	Martindale D.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 1.

St. Johnstone is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Livingston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Johnstone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 24 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23-26.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Johnstone won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
28.02.24	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	St. Mirren - St. Johnstone	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	St. Johnstone - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Dundee - St. Johnstone	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLL
- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
28.02.24	Livingston - Motherwell	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ross County - Livingston	3:2 ✺
17.02.24	Livingston - St. Mirren	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.02.24	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:3 ET ✺
Scottish Premier League
07.02.24	Kilmarnock - Livingston	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
27.12.23	Livingston - St. Johnstone	0:0
30.09.23	St. Johnstone - Livingston	1:1
28.05.23	St. Johnstone - Livingston	2:0
15.04.23	Livingston - St. Johnstone	2:0
14.01.23	St. Johnstone - Livingston	2:4
15.10.22	Livingston - St. Johnstone	1:0
07.05.22	Livingston - St. Johnstone	1:1

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