Match Info

Championship - Round 24

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Murdoch S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Italy	Como TV
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Saints TV
Usa	Paramount+


	St. Johnstone		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.65	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.7	5.05
	1.66	3.85	4.94	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.73	3.63	5.07	Watch
	1.61	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)	3.69 ↑ (3.39)	4.83 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
55.7%

Draw
25.1%

Partick Thistle
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Johnstone's performance.

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partick Thistle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Johnstone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Partick will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Partick (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - St. Johnstone (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Johnstone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Partick (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 35. Forrester A. 3. Diabate C. 5. Mikulic B. 4. Boyes M. 7. Holt J. (C) 42. McAlear R. 11. Stanton S. 10. Gullan J. 24. McPake J. 27. Agyeman A.	12. Clarke J. (G) 24. McPherson B. 19. McBeth L. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 20. O'Reilly D. 3. Reading P. 14. Crawford R. 8. Smyth O. 26. Stanway B. 32. Watt T. 9. Samuel A.
Substitutes
15. Baird J. 21. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 9. Fowler J. 6. Griffith V. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 33. Smith L.	1. Budinauckas L. (G) 10. Chalmers L. 18. Diack R. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 2. Logan C. 22. Loughrey C. 4. Martin S. 30. Taylor F. 6. Turner K.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Wilson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Mikulic B. 🟨,
33', McBeth L. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Smyth O. ⚽, Watt T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stanton S. ↓, Fowler J. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Agyeman A. ⚽,
50', McPherson B. 🟨,
54', O'Reilly D. 🟨,
55', Forrester A. 🟨,
59', Reading P. ↓, Loughrey C. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, McPake J. ⚽, Gullan J. (A),
67', Crawford R. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
71', Stanway B. ↓, Taylor F. ↑,
73', McBeth L. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,
74', Mikulic B. ↓, Baird J. ↑,
79', Baird J. 🟨,
79', McPake J. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
81', Fowler J. 🟨,
86', Ashcroft L. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
89', Gullan J. ↓, Griffith V. ↑,
90+6', Diabate C. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Smyth O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 1.

St. Johnstone is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Partick's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Partick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, St. Johnstone is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	9	5	3	1	10:3	7	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Ross County - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWTW
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Partick Thistle - Montrose	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Partick Thistle - Inverness	3:4 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
09.01.26	Ross County - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
22.11.25	Partick Thistle - St. Johnstone	2:1
02.08.25	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	5:1
Scottish Premier League
28.04.18	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	1:1
27.01.18	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	1:3
28.10.17	Partick Thistle - St. Johnstone	1:0
19.08.17	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	1:0
Scottish League Cup
08.08.17	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	0:3

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