Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Pars TV Arabic
United-kingdom	Saints TV


	St. Johnstone		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	6	Watch
	1.48	4.05	6.3
	1.47	4.15	7.27
	1.46	4.39	6.55	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.57	3.91	6.34	Watch
	1.45	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4 ↑ (3.92)	6.57 ↑ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
62.7%

Draw
23.2%

Dunfermline Athletic
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.2%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - St. Johnstone (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Johnstone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 35. Forrester A. 42. McAlear R. 7. Holt J. (C) 11. Stanton S. 27. Agyeman A. 24. McPake J. 10. Gullan J.	1. Mehmet D. (G) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C) 18. Abdulai N. 3. Ngwenya K. 26. Tod A. 8. Gilmour C. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 47. Fraser R. 38. Morrison C. 9. Rudden Z. 10. Todd M.
Substitutes
15. Baird J. 21. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 6. Griffith V. 18. Ikpeazu U. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 8. Svedberg J.	14. Amade A. 4. Benedictus K. 33. Cooper J. 5. Hamilton C. 20. Kane Ch. 11. Kearney S. 16. MacLeod R. 40. Terrell B. (G) 19. Thomas O.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Lennon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Diabate C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Fraser R. ⚽,
62', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
67', Agyeman A. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
67', Gullan J. ↓, Ikpeazu U. ↑,
68', Holt J. ↓, Mallan S. ↑,
68', Hamilton C. 🟨,
72', Morrison C. 🟨,
78', Morrison C. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
79', Boyes M. 🟨,
80', Smith L. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
84', Rudden Z. 🟨,
86', McPake J. 🟨,
87', Rudden Z. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,

Preview

St. Johnstone has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Dunfermline has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Johnstone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, St. Johnstone is considered a favorite.

We predict that St. Johnstone will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Ross County - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Hearts B - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	4:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
13.12.25	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
08.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	2:2
19.09.25	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1
Club Friendly
04.07.23	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	1:1
Scottish League Cup
15.12.20	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
25.02.12	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	N/A

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