Match Info

Championship - Round 21

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Saints TV


	St. Johnstone		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.25
	1.4	4.45	7.1	Watch
	1.36	5.03	7.6	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.34	4.33	8	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	4.52 ↓ (4.62)	7.42 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
67.4%

Draw
20.3%

Arbroath
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

21%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

St. Johnstone - Arbroath Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arbroath will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Johnstone (votes: 1 - 50%). Arbroath (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 35. Forrester A. 10. Gullan J. 42. McAlear R. 11. Stanton S. 7. Holt J. 24. McPake J. 9. Sidibeh A.	1. McAdams A. (G) 27. Enem V. 6. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. 16. Watson C. 12. Stewart S. 25. Cochrane H. 15. MacIntyre J. 17. Marshall F. 62. Mebude D. 10. Reilly G.
Substitutes
15. Baird J. 21. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 6. Griffith V. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 23. Sprangler S. 8. Svedberg J.	26. Beadling T. 14. Callachan R. 11. Dow R. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 18. Pettifer A. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 19. Todorov N.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Hamilton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Sidibeh A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Reilly G. 🟨,
64', Reilly G. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
76', Stewart S. ↓, Dow R. ↑,
79', Holt J. 🟨,
80', Mebude D. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
86', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
89', Gullan J. ↓, Griffith V. ↑,

Preview

St. Johnstone is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arbroath is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, St. Johnstone is the clear favorite.

We predict that St. Johnstone will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, St. Johnstone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Arbroath: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arbroath	9	3	2	4	6:13	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Ross County - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Hearts B - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
12.12.25	Ayr United - St. Johnstone	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWT
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ross County - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Arbroath - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
06.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
18.10.25	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	3:1
23.08.25	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	3:0
Scottish League Cup
15.08.21	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly
21.07.21	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	1:4

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