Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	St. Louis City		Juárez

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.88	3.45
	2.06	3.81	3.32	Watch
	2.07	3.78	3.36
	2	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.8)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	3.38 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
46.3%

Draw
25.9%

Juárez
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

21.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

St. Louis City - Juárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Juárez will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Lundt B. (G) 20. Watts A. 15. Yaro J. 22. Hiebert K. 2. Nerwinski J. 8. Durkin C. 10. Lowen E. 19. Vassilev I. 36. Teuchert C. 17. Hartel M. 11. Becher S.	1. Jurado S. (G) 4. Abella J. 3. Mosquera M. 15. Calvo F. 34. Orquin R. 25. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 27. Campillo Del Campo D. 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 10. Villalpando D. 33. Garcia A. 29. Zaldivar A.
Substitutes
6. Blom N. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 85. Kijima H. 41. Klein J. 13. Markanich A. 31. Olivares C. (G) 99. Reid J. 29. Thorisson N. 14. Totland T. 40. Wentzel M.	201. Carmona J. 31. Diaz B. (G) 5. Garcia D. 18. Hurtado A. 21. Lopez C. 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 182. Nuno A. (G) 24. Ortega H. 8. Perez S. 7. Valoyes D. 30. Venegas J.
Coaches
Hackworth J.	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Becher S. ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
62', 1 - 1, Villalpando D. ⚽,
68', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
78', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
78', Garcia A. ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
79', Villalpando D. 🟨,
79', Lowen E. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
79', Vassilev I. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
86', Becher S. ↓, Klein J. ↑,
86', Watts A. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
90+2', Mosquera M. ↓, Ortega H. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Hurtado A. (Pen),
1, Teuchert C. (Pen),
2, Calvo F. (Pen),
2, Thorisson N. (Pen),
3, Zaldivar A. (Pen),
3, Hartel M. (Pen),
4, Ortega H. (Pen),

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

St. Louis City will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
CONCACAF League Cup
27.07.24	St. Louis City - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4 ✺
07.07.24	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLL
- FC Juárez
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.24	FC Dallas - Juárez	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Juárez - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.07.24	Juárez - Club América	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Juárez - UNAM	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Toluca - Juárez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLL

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