Match Info

MLS

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: Penso C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Seattle Sounders		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	4	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.64	4.19
	1.78	3.66	4.56	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.94	3.75	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.53)	3.63 ↓ (4.08)	4.06 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
50.4%

Draw
26.1%

St. Louis City
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Sounders's form might have worsened.

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 33.3%). St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - St. Louis City (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - St. Louis City (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - St. Louis City (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - St. Louis City (3.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 14.3%). St. Louis City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 16. Roldan A. 35. Lopez A. 5. Nouhou 31. Dotson H. 7. Roldan C. (C) 37. Brunell S. 11. Rusnak A. 17. Arriola P. 19. Musovski D.	1. Burki R. (C) 20. Rafael Santos 32. Baumgartl T. 5. MacNaughton L. 21. Polvara D. 24. Edelman D. 8. Durkin C. 6. Wallem C. 17. Hartel M. 11. Becher S. 36. Teuchert C.
Substitutes
33. Baker C. 95. De Rosario O. 9. Ferreira J. 24. Frei S. (G) 39. Hawkins S. 45. Kingston P. 13. Morris J. 14. Rothrock P.	16. Cordova S. 27. Fall F. 77. Jeong S. 10. Lowen E. 39. Lundt B. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 28. Perez M. 14. Totland T.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Damet Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Roldan C. ⚽, Rusnak A. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Roldan C. ⚽, Rusnak A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Arriola P. ↓, Rothrock P. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Rusnak A. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Rusnak A. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
54', Dotson H. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
60', Roldan A. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
63', Becher S. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
63', Teuchert C. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
63', Rafael Santos ↓, Totland T. ↑,
80', Musovski D. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
81', Wallem C. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A),
89', Hartel M. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Lowen E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 4.

Seattle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Louis City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Seattle is the team to beat.

There will not play in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Muscle Injury) Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Seattle: Hawkins S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.04.26	Seattle Sounders - Tigres UANL	3:1 ✺
08.04.26	Tigres UANL - Seattle Sounders	2:0 ✺
MLS
04.04.26	Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTW
- St. Louis City SC
US Open Cup
15.04.26	St. Louis City - Tulsa	4:0 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	FC Dallas - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	New York City - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	St. Louis City - New England Revolution	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
07.03.26	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	0:1
03.05.25	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	4:1
15.03.25	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	1:0
17.07.24	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	2:0
25.05.24	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	1:2
21.10.23	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	0:2
08.04.23	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	3:0

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