Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	St. Louis City		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.70	2.25
	2.80	3.70	2.25
	2.75	3.81	2.32	Watch
	2.86	3.86	2.37	Watch
	2.70	3.75	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	2.29 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
34%

Draw
25%

Vancouver Whitecaps
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

24.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.

St. Louis City is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vancouver is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:16 (averaging 1.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for St. Louis City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Vancouver Whitecaps: 13.07% St. Louis City: 4.03%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
30.09.26	New York Red Bulls - St. Louis City	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	St. Louis City - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
US Open Cup
16.09.26	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	0:3 ✺
MLS
12.09.26	St. Louis City - Minnesota United	4:2 ✺
09.09.26	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWT
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
06.10.26	Chicago Fire - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - DC United	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Real Salt Lake - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3 ✺
Canadian Championship
16.09.26	CF Montréal - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
MLS
13.09.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
05.09.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	1:3
23.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	3:2
19.04.25	St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0
13.07.24	St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4
29.06.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	4:3
04.10.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	3:0
27.05.23	St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:1

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