The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 25.5%
Draw 22.5%
St. Louis City 52%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38%
23.9%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
24.5%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
13%
87%
New York Red Bulls - St. Louis City Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 20 - 87%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 73.3% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - St. Louis City (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - St. Louis City (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Louis City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. 14. Bazan J. 26. Parker T. 59. Padelford D. 37. Sofo M. 60. Kone S. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 11. Ruvalcaba J. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 7. Cowell C.
1. Burki R. (C) 27. Fall F. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 19. Holse C. 9. Rafael Navarro 23. Matan A.
Substitutes
45. Faello C. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 88. Pedro Castro 70. Rojas A. 66. Rosborough T. 6. Voloder R. 80. Worth N.
11. Becher S. 77. Jeong S. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 99. Orozco J. 7. Ostrak T. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos
Coaches
Bradley M.
Damet Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Wallem C. (A),
35', Baumgartl T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Padelford D. ↓, Faello C. ↑,
64', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Pedro Castro ↑,
71', Matan A. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
71', Holse C. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
84', Kone S. ↓, Worth N. ↑,
85', Edelman D. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
85', Rafael Navarro ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
86', Forsberg E. 🟨,
87', Sofo M. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
87', Parker T. ↓, Voloder R. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Becher S. ⚽, Durkin C. (A),
90+1', 0 - 3, Ostrak T. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/16~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In recent outings, NY Red Bulls has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
St. Louis City is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
St. Louis City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY Red Bulls has faced a series of away games on the road.
St. Louis City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for NY Red Bulls: Donkor R.
(International duty)
Hall J.
(International duty)
Jimenez M.
(International duty)
Mehmeti A.
(International duty)
Mosquera R.
(International duty)
Ruiz D.
(International duty)
Valencia O.
(International duty).
Confirmed absences for St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Downs D.
(International duty)
Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Ankle Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
Marshall-Rutty J.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for St. Louis City: Ault P.
(Ankle Injury)
McSorley B.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, NY Red Bulls has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Specifically in home fixtures for NY Red Bulls against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
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Horvath E. (G) 
Bazan J. 
Sofo M. 
Kone S. 
Forsberg E. (C) 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Burki R. (C) 
Fall F. 
Baumgartl T. 
Wallem C. 
Holse C. 
Rafael Navarro 
Matan A. 
Rojas A. 
Jeong S. 
MacNaughton L. 
Ostrak T. 
Damet Y. 
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