Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	St. Pauli		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.33	5.25	8.75
	1.28	5.5	10	Watch
	1.34	5.55	9.1
	1.34	5.55	9.1
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.34	5.35	8.4	Watch
	1.34	5.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.39 ↑ (5.06)	8.78 ↑ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
71.6%

Draw
17.6%

Hansa Rostock
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.7%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

18%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	13.6%	4.5%

St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 4. Nemeth D. 5. Wahl H. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 36. Kemlein A. 24. Metcalfe C. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 10. Hartel M.	1. Kolke M. (C) 17. David J. 22. van der Werff J. 21. Rossipal A. 10. Froling N. 26. Bachmann J. 6. Dressel D. 24. Strauss J. 19. Vasiliadis S. 14. Ingelsson S. 18. Perea J.
Substitutes
19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 35. da Silva Moreira E. 25. Dzwigala A. 26. Saad E. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D.	45. Gudjohnsen S. 5. Husing O. 40. Johansson M. (G) 27. Kinsombi C. 34. Lang J. 7. Neidhart N. 9. Proger K. 28. Singh S. 3. Stafylidis K.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Selimbegovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Irvine J. ⚽, Hartel M. (A),
63', Perea J. 🟨,
66', Ingelsson S. 🟨,
70', Froling N. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
70', Vasiliadis S. ↓, Kinsombi C. ↑,
72', Strauss J. 🟨,
75', van der Werff J. ↓, Stafylidis K. ↑,
81', Stafylidis K. 🟨,
84', Bachmann J. ↓, Singh S. ↑,
84', Perea J. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
85', Metcalfe C. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
87', Afolayan O. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
90+1', Eggestein J. ↓, Boukhalfa C. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match St. Pauli is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.24	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	St. Pauli - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
06.04.24	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	St. Pauli - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Hertha Berlin - Hansa Rostock	4:0 ✺
05.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hansa Rostock - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	2:3
26.02.23	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	1:0
21.08.22	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	2:0
02.04.22	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	1:0
24.10.21	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	4:0
22.04.12	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	3:0

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