Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	St. Pauli		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5	7.25
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5.29	7.95
	1.38	5.29	7.95
	1.35	4.8	7.5	Watch
	1.39	5.1	7.4	Watch
	1.38	5.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	5.05 ↑ (4.63)	7.58 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
68.6%

Draw
18.8%

Elversberg
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

St. Pauli - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 23. Treu P. 24. Metcalfe C. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.	20. Kristof N. (G) 18. Vandermersch H. 23. Sickinger C. 3. Le Joncour F. 33. Neubauer M. 11. Durholtz L. 14. Fellhauer R. 7. Feil M. 17. Wanner P. 10. Rochelt J. 24. Schnellbacher L. (C)
Substitutes
17. Afolayan O. 19. Albers A. 30. Burchert S. (G) 36. Kemlein A. 9. Maurides 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D.	28. Boss T. (G) 22. Boyamba J. 4. Conrad K. 29. Faghir W. 31. Jacobsen T. 30. Koffi 9. Martinovic D. 19. Pinckert L. 25. Saftig S.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Treu P. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
29', Feil M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Eggestein J. ⚽, Smith E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
51', 1 - 1, Neubauer M. ⚽, Rochelt J. (A),
65', Eggestein J. 🟨,
67', Feil M. ↓, Martinovic D. ↑,
67', Rochelt J. ↓, Jacobsen T. ↑,
68', Durholtz L. ↓, Boyamba J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Metcalfe C. (A),
70', 2 - 2, Boyamba J. ⚽, Jacobsen T. (A),
72', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
72', Metcalfe C. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
78', Ritzka L. 🟨,
81', 2 - 3, Wanner P. ⚽, Martinovic D. (A),
82', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Faghir W. ↑,
83', 2 - 4, Vandermersch H. ⚽, Fellhauer R. (A),
84', Saliakas M. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
84', Eggestein J. ↓, Maurides ↑,
85', Smith E. 🟨,
86', Wanner P. 🟨,
86', Wanner P. ↓, Pinckert L. ↑,
89', Irvine J. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 4, Irvine J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 11).

Recent matches St. Pauli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elversberg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elversberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St. Pauli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
06.04.24	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	St. Pauli - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	St. Pauli - Hertha Berlin	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Schalke 04 - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.04.24	Elversberg - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
03.03.24	Elversberg - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.11.23	Elversberg - St. Pauli	0:2
German DFB Pokal
13.09.20	Elversberg - St. Pauli	4:2

Upcoming Matches