Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Heft F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.51	4.5	5.75
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4.8	6.16
	1.5	4.8	6.16
	1.44	4.6	5.8	Watch
	1.49	4.7	5.95	Watch
	1.48	4.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)	4.67 ↑ (4.35)	6.07 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
64.1%

Draw
20.3%

Hansa Rostock
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

20.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 17. Becker T. 6. Ivezic M. 3. Komenda M. 8. Porath F. 16. Sander P. (C) 18. Rothe T. 10. Holtby L. 7. Skrzybski S. 11. Bernhardsson A. 13. Machino S.	1. Kolke M. (C) 17. David J. 4. Rossbach D. 3. Stafylidis K. 7. Neidhart N. 8. Rhein S. 6. Dressel D. 13. Schumacher K. 27. Kinsombi C. 49. Junior Brumado 14. Ingelsson S.
Substitutes
20. Arp J.-F. 31. Engelhardt M. (G) 5. Johansson C. 2. Kirkeskov M. 27. Mees J. 29. Niehoff N. 22. Remberg N. 23. Rosenboom L. 15. Schulz M.	26. Bachmann J. 10. Froling N. 45. Gudjohnsen S. 5. Husing O. 40. Johansson M. (G) 34. Lang J. 18. Perea J. 24. Strauss J. 19. Vasiliadis S.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Selimbegovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Skrzybski S. ⚽, Machino S. (A),
15', David J. 🟨,
31', Sander P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Junior Brumado ↓, Perea J. ↑,
46', Kinsombi C. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
47', Perea J. 🟨,
51', Porath F. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Holtby L. ⚽,
63', Ivezic M. 🟨,
64', Skrzybski S. 🟨,
65', Skrzybski S. ↓, Remberg N. ↑,
74', Porath F. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
74', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
82', Rossbach D. 🟨,
82', Becker T. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
82', Sander P. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
82', Neidhart N. ↓, Strauss J. ↑,
83', Rhein S. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
83', Ingelsson S. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
90', Rothe T. 🟨,
90+1', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
90+2', Gudjohnsen S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2.

Holstein Kiel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hansa Rostock is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Holstein Kiel is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
23.02.24	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	3:4 ✺
17.02.24	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTLW
- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Hansa Rostock - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Hansa Rostock - Kaiserslautern	0:3 ✺
25.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.10.23	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	1:3
09.04.23	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	2:3
01.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	1:1
11.03.22	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	3:2
02.10.21	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	0:2
Club Friendly
22.01.19	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.17	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	2:1

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