Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+


	Stabæk		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5.25
	1.55	4.1	5.3
	1.53	4.1	5.2
	1.59	4.26	5.75
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.57	4.25	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)	4.11 ↑ (3.55)	5.31 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
59.7%

Draw
22.7%

Fredrikstad
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stabæk's performance.

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stabæk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	21.1%	21.1%

Stabæk - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stabæk: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 3.

Stabæk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fredrikstad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stabæk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Stabæk is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stabæk to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Notodden - Stabæk	1:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.06.22	Start - Stabæk	0:0 ✺
30.05.22	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
26.05.22	Bryne - Stabæk	0:0 ✺
22.05.22	Raufoss - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWTW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian NM Cup
23.06.22	Kvik Halden - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.22	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	3:2 ✺
26.05.22	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Brann - Fredrikstad	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.05.22	Råde - Fredrikstad	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.01.15	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.13	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
30.05.13	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	3:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.13	Fredrikstad - Stabæk	4:0
Club Friendly
24.03.13	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.09.12	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	0:1
01.04.12	Fredrikstad - Stabæk	5:1

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