Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion MOSiR (Mielec)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Stal Mielec		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.3	3.35	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.16
	3.31	3.71	2.17
	3.2	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.64	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.68)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.13 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
29.3%

Draw
26.8%

Wisła Płock
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	11.1%	48.1%

Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Stal Mielec: Barauskas D. (Injury) Ciepiela B. (Injury) Mak M. (Injury) Vastsuk B. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Cup
18.10.22	Stal Mielec - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.10.22	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2 ✺
02.10.22	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWL
- Wisła Płock
Polish Cup
18.10.22	Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.10.22	Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.05.22	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	3:0
03.12.21	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	2:1
04.03.21	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	2:2
23.08.20	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	1:1
Polish Cup
27.07.16	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	4:3

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