Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.45
	5	3.8	1.58
	5.8	4.2	1.52	Watch
	6.37	4.2	1.48
	5.96	4.09	1.53	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	6.1	4.2	1.47
	5.8	4.2	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.56 ↑ (5.3)	4.02 ↑ (3.94)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
16.7%

Draw
23%

Arka Gdynia
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

22.8%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 55. Oko D. 22. Banach J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 2. Kukulowicz B. 30. Wojtkowski K. 29. Ruszel M. 24. Urban D. 18. Surzyn M. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.	1. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Navarro M. 23. Hermoso K. 18. Celestine J. 94. Gojny D. (C) 11. Kocyla D. 80. Petrovic Z. 39. Kocaba F. 35. Jakubczyk K. 99. Majchrzak J. 14. Vitalucci H.
Substitutes
77. Bida B. 39. Jonathan Junior 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 12. Piekutowski M. (G) 17. Piotrowski A. 23. Svec J. 8. Thiago 10. Walski M.	13. Azatsky O. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 29. Marcjanik M. 27. Oliveira J. 16. Ratajczyk A. 8. Sidibe A. 31. Staniszewski J. 32. Stolc P. 77. Weglarz D. (G)
Coaches
Pluska M.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', Oko D. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Vitalucci H. ⚽, Navarro M. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Majchrzak J. ⚽,
38', Furtak L. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 3, Celestine J. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gojny D. ↓, Stolc P. ↑,
60', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
60', Petrovic Z. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
60', Kocyla D. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
69', Walski M. 🟨,
69', Surzyn M. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
71', Celestine J. ↓, Azatsky O. ↑,
71', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
79', Ruszel M. 🟨,
82', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Thiago ↑,
82', Strozik S. ↓, Piotrowski A. ↑,
82', Ruszel M. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Stal Stalowa Wola is Relegated to Division 2

Arka is Qualified for Ekstraklasa

Stal Stalowa Wola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arka is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
16.05.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:0 ✺
09.05.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków	0:5 ✺
03.05.25	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLT
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
18.05.25	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
12.05.25	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia	2:3 penalties

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