Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.38	3.35	2.85	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.79
	2.37	3.34	2.91	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.39	3.3	2.71
	2.38	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (3.44)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.9 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
39.8%

Draw
28.2%

ŁKS Łódź
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

27.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

27.3%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Stalowa Wola's performance.

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ŁKS Łódź might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Stalowa Wola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ŁKS Łódź could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Piekutowski M. (G) 22. Banach J. (C) 55. Oko D. 5. Mehremic A. 19. Niepsuj D. 10. Walski M. 30. Wojtkowski K. 26. Zaucha P. 23. Svec J. 77. Bida B. 11. Strozik S.	12. Bomba L. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 6. Rudol S. 2. Gulen L. 37. Glowacki P. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 22. Norlin G. 14. Mokrzycki M. 17. Hinokio K. 11. Sitek M. 99. Mrvaljevic M.
Substitutes
6. Gvozdenovic B. 39. Jonathan Junior 2. Kukulowicz B. 21. Mydlarz M. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 8. Thiago 24. Urban D.	1. Bobek A. (G) 28. Falowski K. 33. Majcenic A. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 30. Terlecki K. 20. Wysokinski M. 24. Wziech M. 19. Zajac J.
Coaches
Jarosz M.	Robakiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Rudol S. 🟨,
24', Kupczak M. 🟨,
28', Niepsuj D. 🟨,
43', Niepsuj D. 🟨,
45', Hinokio K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Mokrzycki M. ⚽,
53', Mehremic A. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
53', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Thiago ↑,
57', Oko D. 🟨,
63', Norlin G. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,
63', Bida B. ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
71', Mydlarz M. 🟨,
74', Zaucha P. ↓, Urban D. ↑,
74', Svec J. ↓, Jonathan Junior ↑,
75', Sitek M. ↓, Zajac J. ↑,
80', Mokrzycki M. ↓, Wysokinski M. ↑,
80', Mrvaljevic M. ↓, Wziech M. ↑,
81', Bomba L. 🟨,
84', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).

Recent matches Stal Stalowa Wola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ŁKS has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
19.04.25	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3 ✺
09.04.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWLLT
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
21.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Wisła Płock - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	ŁKS Łódź - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.10.24	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0
Polish Division 2
01.05.18	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:2
26.08.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź	1:1

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