Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.73	Watch
	4	3.6	1.77
	4.33	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.63	3.68	1.78
	4.47	3.68	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	4.21	3.62	1.76
	4.33	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.76)	3.61 ↓ (3.8)	1.76 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
21.6%

Draw
25.7%

Miedź Legnica
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.4%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

24.5%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Miedź will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miedź: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 22. Banach J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 97. Joao Tavares 2. Kukulowicz B. 16. Lelek K. 21. Mydlarz M. 29. Ruszel M. 11. Strozik S. 24. Urban D. 26. Zaucha P.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 98. Antonik K. 3. Grudzinski M. 26. Hartherz F. 22. Kaczmarski I. 17. Kostka M. 5. Kovacevic A. 27. Letniowski J. 95. Mansfeld M. 25. Mijuskovic N. (C) 10. Mioc B.
Substitutes
77. Chelmecki K. 7. Gorski J. 10. Imiela A. 9. Lacki D. 18. Pchelka C. 20. Pioterczak B. 8. Soszynski L. 23. Svec J. 1. Wilk A. (G)	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 7. Bida B. 8. Chuca 19. Drina A. 11. Drzazga K. 18. Kaczmar M. 69. Michalik D. 6. Podgorski J. 20. Tront D.
Coaches
Pietrzykowski I.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Letniowski J. ⚽, Antonik K. (A),
61', Antonik K. ↓, Chuca ↑,
61', Kostka M. ↓, Podgorski J. ↑,
63', Lelek K. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
63', Joao Tavares ↓, Chelmecki K. ↑,
80', Letniowski J. 🟨,
82', Urban D. ↓, Imiela A. ↑,
84', Mansfeld M. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Mioc B. ⚽, Bida B. (A),
87', Letniowski J. ↓, Drzazga K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Stal Stalowa Wola is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Miedź is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Miedź have a series of home games.

In this match Miedź is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
01.12.24	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1 ✺
10.11.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Kraków	1:5 ✺
02.11.24	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLWT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
30.11.24	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	1:3 ✺
25.11.24	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.24	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.07.24	Miedź Legnica - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:2

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