Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.7	3.25	2.35
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.41
	2.83	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.3
	2.7	3.38	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.29)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	2.37 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
33.6%

Draw
27.4%

Polonia Warsaw
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26.2%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

25.9%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Stalowa Wola's performance.

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Stalowa Wola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wilk A. (G) 22. Banach J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 2. Kukulowicz B. 24. Urban D. 23. Svec J. 21. Mydlarz M. 20. Pioterczak B. 30. Wojtkowski K. 26. Zaucha P. 11. Strozik S.	96. Kuchta M. (G) 4. Szur P. 2. Grudniewski M. (C) 5. Hoxhallari E. 37. Zawistowski N. 55. Poczobut B. 16. Koton K. 23. Xabi Auzmendi 15. Vega D. 17. Predenkiewicz M. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
7. Gorski J. 97. Joao Tavares 27. Jonczy D. 87. Kowalski J. 16. Lelek K. 55. Oko D. 18. Pchelka C. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G)	10. Bajdur M. 99. Durmus I. 13. Grzelczak A. 11. Kobusinski S. 26. Kolodziejski M. 57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 22. Olszewski P. 24. Terpilowski E. 19. Vasin N.
Coaches
Pietrzykowski I.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Svec J. 🟨,
29', Szur P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zawistowski N. ↓, Olszewski P. ↑,
55', Grudniewski M. ↓, Kolodziejski M. ↑,
57', Pioterczak B. 🟨,
62', Urban D. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
62', Svec J. ↓, Gorski J. ↑,
65', Zaucha P. 🟨,
68', Predenkiewicz M. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
68', Xabi Auzmendi ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
70', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
73', Pioterczak B. ↓, Pchelka C. ↑,
77', Zaucha P. ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
79', Kolodziejski M. 🟨,
80', Terpilowski E. 🟨,
81', Gorski J. 🟨,
87', Kolodziejski M. 🟨,
88', Joao Tavares 🟨,
90+1', Vega D. ↓, Kobusinski S. ↑,
90+3', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,
90+4', Kuchta M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Lelek K. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
20.10.24	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Stal Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	GKS Tychy - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TTWLT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
20.10.24	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.03.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw	0:1
13.08.16	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0

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