The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Standard Liège 12.4%
Draw 23.8%
Saint-Gilloise 63.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.9%
28.1%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
27.4%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Standard Liège's form might have worsened.
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Standard Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.8%
3.4%
82.8%
Standard Liège - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Union SG (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.75 - Standard (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Union SG (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Gilloise will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Union SG (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Pirard L. (G) 18. Lawrence H. 25. Hautekiet I. 24. Homawoo J. 13. Fossey M. 20. Karamoko I. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 3. Mortensen G. 7. Mohr T. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 17. Said R.
1. Chambaere V. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 27. Patris L. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 7. Fuseini M. 12. David P.
Substitutes
11. Abid A. 4. Bates D. 29. Dierckx D. 35. Dizdarevic B. (G) 27. El Hankouri M. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 26. Nguene B. 59. Nkada T. 33. Spoden C.
9. Biondic M. 30. Florucz R. 19. Francois G. 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 14. Pavlic I. 17. Schoofs R. 21. Teunckens J. (G) 23. Zeneli B.
Coaches
Euvrard V.
Hubert D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Eckert Ayensa D. ⚽, Fossey M. (A),
38', Homawoo J. 🟨,
40', Homawoo J. ↓, Dierckx D. ↑,
45+4', Said R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dierckx D. ↓, Bates D. ↑,
46', Patris L. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
52', Lawrence H. 🟨,
62', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
65', Fuseini M. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
65', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
66', Van De Perre K. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
69', Fossey M. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
72', Eckert Ayensa D. 🟨,
72', Zorgane A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Guilherme Smith ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
79', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
80', Burgess C. 🟨,
86', Florucz R. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
87', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
Standard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Standard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.
In this match, Union SG is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M.
(Muscle Injury)
Epolo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Nielsen C.
(Elbow Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
Niang O.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez K.
(Back Injury)
Scherpen K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Standard: Assengue S.
(Injury)
Ilaimaharitra M.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Royale Union SG
7
6
1
0
21:3
18
19
7
St. Liege
7
3
2
2
13:12
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Standard Liège - the odds 4.27 are the expected chance of winning is 21.94%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Belgium
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Pirard L. (G) 
Lawrence H. 
Homawoo J. 
Fossey M. 
Karamoko I. 
Ilaimaharitra M. 
Mortensen G. 
Mohr T. 
Said R. 
Mac Allister K. 
Khalaili A. 
Zorgane A. 
Fuseini M. 
David P. 
Bates D. 
Dizdarevic B. (G) 
El Hankouri M. 
Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 
Nguene B. 
Florucz R. 
Giger M. 
Guilherme Smith 
Pavlic I. 
Zeneli B. 
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