Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Star Starachowice		Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5.25
	1.48	4.16	5.32
	1.48	4.16	5.32
	1.47	4.26	6.01	Watch
	1.45	4.25	4.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	4.19 ↓ (5.5)	5.34 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
61.5%

Draw
21.6%

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Star Starachowice's form might have worsened.

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Star Starachowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Maidanevych O. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Sliwinski P. ⚽,
90+3', Piotrowski B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Star Starachowice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Star Starachowice is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Star Starachowice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.05.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	0:3 ✺
03.05.24	Star Starachowice - Wiązownica	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTL
- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.05.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	0:3 ✺
05.05.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Świdniczanka Świdnik	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wieczysta Kraków	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Star Starachowice	0:2

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