Match Info

League One - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Arbroath		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.79	3.6	4.1
	1.78	3.55	4.51	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.4
	1.8	3.7	4.11	Watch
	1.79	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	3.55 ↑ (3.53)	4.17 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbroath
51.8%

Draw
26.1%

Stenhousemuir
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.8%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arbroath - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arbroath will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McAdams A. (G) 19. Penman C. 27. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. 4. Wilkie J. 20. Flynn R. 6. Stanton S. 12. Stewart S. 14. Taylor F. 11. Dow R. 25. Winter A.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. 25. Fisher S. 14. Bilham K. 7. O'Reilly E. 12. Taylor R. 17. Anderson M. 23. McGill S. 18. O'Donnell C. 24. Alston B.
Substitutes
9. Gallagher C. 17. King B. 31. Mcconnell J. (G) 24. McKechnie K. 22. Murray I. 10. Reilly G. 32. Spalding A. 2. Steele A. 15. Watson K.	9. Aitken M. 15. Banner K. 21. Ewen K. 20. Jacobs Ky. 26. Mcluckie B. 27. Morrison J. (G) 6. Wedderburn N. 10. Yates M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', O'Reilly E. 🟨,
44', McGill S. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Stanton S. ⚽, O'Brien T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Taylor F. ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Stanton S. ⚽, Stewart S. (A),
60', 4 - 0, Winter A. ⚽,
66', McGill S. ↓, Aitken M. ↑,
66', Alston B. ↓, Jacobs Ky. ↑,
66', O'Donnell C. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
70', Muirhead A. ↓, Watson K. ↑,
70', Dow R. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
75', Penman C. ↓, McKechnie K. ↑,
75', Taylor F. ↓, Spalding A. ↑,
77', Anderson M. ↓, Wedderburn N. ↑,
78', Winter A. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
84', Bilham K. ↓, Ewen K. ↑,
90+3', Jamieson D. 🟨,
90+4', Meechan R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 2.

Arbroath is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stenhousemuir is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arbroath is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arbroath to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:20 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Arbroath won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish League One
05.04.25	Montrose - Arbroath	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arbroath - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Alloa Athletic - Arbroath	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
05.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic	1:4 ✺
29.03.25	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	0:0 ✺
11.03.25	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
22.02.25	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	2:0
02.11.24	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	1:0
03.08.24	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	2:1
09.03.19	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	0:2
12.01.19	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:4
01.12.18	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	5:2
22.09.18	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:2

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