Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Scotland	19:30	BBC Scotland
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Stenhousemuir		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.45
	6.75	4.5	1.36
	6.3	4.45	1.44
	6.76	4.45	1.45
	6.99	4.60	1.39	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.94	4.25	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↓ (7.27)	4.34 ↓ (4.48)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
14.1%

Draw
21.3%

Falkirk
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.7%

20.5%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.7%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stenhousemuir - Falkirk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Falkirk (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Stenhousemuir (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 50%). Falkirk (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 6. Graham A. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 5. Jamieson N. 14. Bilham K. 23. McGill S. 7. O'Reilly E. 22. Whyte O. 9. Aitken M. 15. Carrick D.	19. Bain S. (G) 2. Adams K. 6. Donaldson C. (C) 15. Neilson L. 3. McCann L. 8. Spencer B. 21. Tait D. 11. Broggio B. 30. Marsh L. 29. Miller C. 7. Graham B.
Substitutes
12. Cameron Z. 21. Ewen K. 24. Grant L. 10. Gray F. 34. Lyle C. (G) 3. Simpson O.	20. Allan C. 17. Cartwright H. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 28. Lissah F. 10. Nesbitt A. 23. Ross E. 16. Stewart B. 22. Wilson K. 14. Yeats F.
Coaches
Naysmith G.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Buchanan G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McGill S. ↓, Grant L. ↑,
66', Bilham K. 🟨,
67', Marsh L. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
67', Broggio B. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
67', Graham B. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
72', Carrick D. ↓, Cameron Z. ↑,
88', Meechan R. ↓, Ewen K. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
104', 0 - 1, Spencer B. ⚽, Ross E. (A),
106', O'Reilly E. ↓, Simpson O. ↑,
106', Bilham K. ↓, Gray F. ↑,
106', Tait D. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
107', Jamieson N. 🟨,
108', 0 - 2, Stewart B. ⚽, Spencer B. (A),

Preview

Stenhousemuir is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Falkirk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stenhousemuir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Falkirk is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
24.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	4:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
04.02.26	Livingston - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Celtic - Falkirk	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Falkirk - Hibernian	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Hearts - Falkirk	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Falkirk - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
07.09.24	Stenhousemuir - Falkirk	2:1 penalties
Scottish League Cup
27.07.24	Falkirk - Stenhousemuir	4:0
Scottish Cup
24.11.18	Stenhousemuir - Falkirk	4:2
01.12.12	Stenhousemuir - Falkirk	0:1

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