Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)


	Stenhousemuir		Inverness

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.40	3.20	1.93
	3.45	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.71	3.44	2.1
	3.59	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.35	2
	3.71	3.24	1.92	Watch
	3.45	3.3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	2 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
26.2%

Draw
27.8%

Inverness
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.1%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stenhousemuir - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Stenhousemuir (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 8. Robson F. 14. Bilham K. 20. Stevenson G. 15. Carrick D. 11. O'Donnell L.	1. Munro R. (G) 15. Smith K. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. Boutin N. 7. Allan P. 4. Shinnie G. 19. Bates M. 35. Stewart A. 17. Sole L. 36. Bavidge A.
Substitutes
9. Aitken M. 4. Buchanan G. 39. Gillies M. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 21. Hodgkiss L. 37. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 28. Penman C. 22. Shinnie A.	16. Duncan R. 14. Keir M. 11. Longstaff L. 26. MacGregor R. 12. MacKay D. 8. Mackinnon A. 2. MacLeod C. 21. Ross L. (G)
Coaches
Bartley M.	Kellacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, O'Donnell L. ⚽, Carrick D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Smith K. ↓, MacLeod C. ↑,
46', Bates M. ↓, Duncan R. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, O'Donnell L. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Sole L. ⚽, Duncan R. (A),
57', 3 - 1, Young S. ⚽, O'Donnell L. (A),
59', Carrick D. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
59', Stevenson G. ↓, Hodgkiss L. ↑,
59', Robson F. ↓, Gillies M. ↑,
66', Sole L. ↓, MacKay D. ↑,
66', Boutin N. ↓, Mackinnon A. ↑,
70', Grant L. 🟨,
70', Stewart A. 🟨,
70', Shinnie G. 🟨,
73', O'Donnell L. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
75', Bavidge A. 🟨,
76', Grant L. ↓, Buchanan G. ↑,
78', Bavidge A. ↓, Keir M. ↑,
81', 🟨,
90+3', Savage R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2.

Stenhousemuir is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Inverness has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stenhousemuir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Inverness will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Stenhousemuir: 21.23% Inverness: 4.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	8	7	1	0	12:2	10	22
8	Inverness	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
22.08.26	Queens Park - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Motherwell	1:0 AET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.8 WWWTW
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
21.08.26	Inverness - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hearts - Inverness	6:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
11.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:0
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:0
16.08.25	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:2
19.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1
11.03.25	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	4:1

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