The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 28.6%
Draw 29.5%
Forest Green Rovers 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
29.4%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
21.1%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forest Green Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Forest Green Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 20 (6.38%), has project points - 57, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 1 (10.5%), has project points - 73, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Stevenage has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Forest Green is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Forest Green will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
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