The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 53.2%
Draw 26.2%
Swindon Town 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
29.2%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
28.6%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
7.1%
50%
Stevenage Borough - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Swindon will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 23.8% โ 76.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 8).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 3 (8.93%), has project points - 75, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Swindon has the most likely position - 4 (9.25%), has project points - 74, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has small quality13, importance46, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1.
Stevenage is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
Watch
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