The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 30.9%
Draw 29.8%
Port Vale 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
27.4%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
27.7%
45.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12%
36%
52%
Forest Green Rovers - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Port Vale will win (votes: 13 - 52%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 32.4% – 71.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (41.35%), has project points - 39, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 13 (8.26%), has project points - 60, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, small importance21, small match rating17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Port Vale have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.
Watch
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